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Market wrap: Australia bucks global trend as weak energy and miners deflate the ASX 200

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Published: 23 Mar 2024 07:00

Market wrap: Australia bucks global trend as weak energy and miners deflate the ASX 200

Once again, Australias relative lack of technology stocks has seen the local market fail to keep pace with strong offshore leads.

On Friday after all three major US equity benchmarks reset new highs, weakness in mining and energy stocks in Australia dragged theASX 200index down by 0.2% or 11.4 points, to 7770.6 points.

Despite that failure, the local index still closed out the week up 1.3% after plenty of hectic trading around a raft of central bank meetings.

A weaker oil price sent local oil stocks down a hefty 1.3% after a stronger US dollar sent oil prices lower.Woodside and miners head south

Oil and gas majorWoodside Energy WDSwas a big influence, with shares down 1.8% to $29.73 whileAmpol ALDshares fell 0.8% to $40.29 whileSantos STOstaged a late recovery to close even for the day at $7.50 a share.

It was a similar story for the big miners with the materials sector closing down 0.9% after iron ore futures fell 3.1% in Singapore to US$106.40 a tonne on the April contract.

Predictably, that sentBHP BHPshares down 0.8% to $40.29 withRio Tinto RIOshares down 0.48% to $120.56 andFortescue Metals FMGdown 2.15% to $24.64.

There have been some broker reports claiming that iron ore prices may be approaching a floor although in market tussles between the big miners and China, it is anybodys guess who ends up getting the better deal.Weaker gold price dents gold miners

Another downward influence on the market was an easing in the gold price to US$2,180 an ounce after it set a record high which had an outsize effect on the share prices of many gold miners.

Some of the worst hit wereBellevue Gold BGLshares which fell 5.3% to $1.885,Genesis Minerals GGMDshares which dropped 6.3% to $1.80 andLiontown Resources LTRhares, down 3.2% to $1.21.

There were some exceptions, withNorthern Star NSTshares spending most of the day underwater before poking above par at the close by just 1c to reach $13.72.Fisher & Paykel runs hot

There was some positive corporate news withFisher & Paykel Healthcare FPHrising an impressive 7.7% to $24.18 after the company upgraded its full year earnings guidance to a range of NZ$260 million (A$239.1 million) to NZ$265 million.

That was up from the previous net profit forecast of between NZ$250 million to NZ$260 million and this performance led the healthcare index to a hefty 1% rise for the day, with Fisher & Paykel the best performed stock of the day.

Some other good performers included shares in laboratory testing companyALS ALQwhich added 2%,Cleanaway Waste Management CWYup 1.9% and global packaging giantAmcor AMCup 1.4%.

Another positive sector was the real estate investment trusts (REITS), which was up 1.4% as investors continued to return to the formerly unloved sector on the back of potential interest rate falls.Small cap stock action

The Small Ords index rose 0.9% for the week to close at 3061.1 points.

ASX 200 vs Small Ords

Small cap companies making headlines this week were:Genetic Technologies GTG

Genetic Technologies announced abreakthrough in risk assessment with its new GeneType technology, which is a world-first in identifying over 200 genes for hereditary disease risks, enhancing tests for common cancers, cardiovascular disease, and type-2 diabetes.

Chief executive officer Simon Morriss highlighted that the technology could identify nearly 100% of individuals at risk, significantly beyond the limitations of family history.

The GeneType test offers a comprehensive evaluation of genetic predispositions to serious diseases, incorporating both hereditary and sporadic non-hereditary diseases, aiming to improve patient outcomes through personalised care.

This innovation, based on a non-invasive saliva test, targets the US healthcare market, where demand for genetic risk assessments is growing, with the genetic testing market valued at approximately $11.3 billion in 2022.Altech Batteries ATC

Altech Batteries announced positive findings from afeasibility study for its Cerenergy sodium chloride solid state battery projectin Germany, aiming to pioneer sustainable energy solutions with a projected $260 million investment for a 120 1MWh annual capacity facility.

The study predicts a net present value of $281 million, with anticipated annual net revenues of $176 million and an EBITDA of $84 million, highlighting the projects economic viability with a capital payback period of 3.7 years.

Following these results, Altechs board approved advancing to the funding phase, buoyed by the projected growth of the grid storage market.

The Cerenergy project, a joint venture between Altech and the German institute Fraunhofer IKTS, aims to capitalise on a market forecasted to expand significantly, with expectations of reaching over 3000GW by 2050 from 20GW in 2020.Lion Energy LLIO

Lion Energy has received approval from the Queensland government to develop Australias potentiallyfirst city-based hydrogen generation and refuelling hub at the Port of Brisbane, with construction beginning in Q2 2024.

The facility aims to support heavy mobility fleets, including public buses and trucks, with an initial production capacity of 420 kilograms of green hydrogen per day, scalable to meet demand.

This hub marks a significant step in Lions strategy to create a network of hydrogen refuelling depots across eastern Australia, leveraging the ports strategic location near major transport routes and bus depots.

The project will utilise renewable electricity sources and includes investments in key infrastructure such as electrolysers and solar power to ensure a reliable supply of green hydrogen.Universal Biosensors UUBI

Universal Biosensors has receivedFDA 510(k) approval and a CLIA waiver for its Xprecia Prime coagulation analyser, marking the device as class II and allowing its sale to healthcare professionals in the US.

This portable unit facilitates on-site prothrombin time and international normalised ratio (PT/INR) testing, crucial for managing oral anticoagulation therapies like Warfarin, directly affecting patient care by preventing bleeding or thrombosis risks.

Chief executive officer John Sharman described the FDAs clearance as a historic milestone, showcasing over a decade of R&D and the significance of being the first coagulation device to achieve a CLIA waiver by application.

This approval opens up a significant market opportunity for Universal Biosensors, positioning the company to penetrate the US healthcare market, with expectations for Xprecia Prime to align with existing Medicare, Medicaid and health insurer reimbursement codes.Lord Resources LLRD

Mineral Resources MIN (MinRes) has expanded its portfolio byentering a farm-in agreement with Lord Resourcesfor the Horse Rocks lithium project, following a recent acquisition of the Lake Johnston nickel concentrator plant to bolster its battery metal processing capabilities in Western Australia.

The Horse Rocks project, close to the Mt Marion lithium mine, shows promise with identified lithium-caesium-tantalum pegmatite swarms, positioning MinRes to potentially increase its stake in the lithium sector.

Under the agreement, MinRes has the option to first acquire a 40% interest in Horse Rocks by funding $1 million within 18 months, with opportunities to further increase its interest up to 85% through additional investment stages.

The collaboration aims at joint development, with Lord managing exploration activities and MinRes contributing geological expertise, marking a strategic move to consolidate MinRes presence in critical minerals for battery production.The week ahead

There is little doubt that the big announcement in Australia this week will be the monthly consumer price index (CPI), which is out on Wednesday.

Inflation remains one of the key factors in bringing on a fall in official interest rates and for the estimated one in 20 home loan borrowers that are suffering from negative cash flow due to high mortgage rates, that day cannot come soon enough.

The expectation is that there will be a 0.3% lift in headline CPI for February, taking the annual growth rate from 3.4% to 3.5%.

Swifties will also be keenly watching the February retail trade report, with expectations that Taylor Swifts sellout concerts may have boosted otherwise weak consumer activity.

If they have, perhaps the song to play would be You need to calm down.

Some of the releases to watch out for overseas include the US inflation numbers, new home sales and consumer confidence.

Chinese industrial profits are also due and will likely be weak.

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